There's a couple of points I disagree with here, but overall I think this is a good synopsis of the race for the White House at this point.
Last year "everyone" was positive the race would be between Hillary and some Republican -- and not McCain -- with an all but guaranteed win for Hillary.
A few weeks ago "everyone" was positive the race would be between Hussein Obama and John McCain, with an all but guaranteed win for Obama.
As the Republican primaries ran their course McCain, seemingly against all odds, shot forward to win the nomination.
That seems to be happening again!
As I often wrote before and after Hillary's defeat, don't count her out and don't take her for granted! IF we can believe what the Media is telling us (and this part seems credible enough), first she and her supported did what no campaign has ever done -- or at least not so blatantly -- she blackmailed winner in an attempt to get the VP spot on the ticket. Now many of Hillary's supporters are encouraging her to run as an independent and/or to place her name in the Democratic convention. Unheard of! But VERY Good news for McCain!
As the following article correctly says, Had Ross Perot not played the spoiler role the Clintons would never have gotten the White House. But there was a Ross Perot. In this election there is "another potential Ross Perot, that is Bob Barr. Bob Barr talks a good game for the most part (although he is late to the table), but let's face it, a vote for Bob Barr is effectively a vote for Hussein Obama just like a vote for Ross Perot was in practical terms a vote for the Clintons.
What to do...
In the US it has never been more than the case than it is right now: Vote the lesser of the bad choices the Elite are giving us. In my opinion that means voting for McCain. This will be the first time I have ever voted Republican in a national election.
Everyone who knows me know how much I dispise GW Bush. I believe he and Cheney stole the White House both times, are deliberately following the saem agenda as the Clintons, that being the destruction of our nation, that ALL the wars the US is involved in are illegal and immoral, etc. etc. BUT I am convinced that the mainly unspecified "Change" Hussein Obama is offering will be even worse! John McCain, when asked about the North American Union, promised that he would oppose its implimentation if elected. In Germany and elsewhere Obama made it VERY clear that he supports not only the North American Union but the Global Union that is to follow it.
So, with this preface out of the way, here's the article. I have highlighted a few points, added a few of my thoughts in blue and added the Cindy Sheehan video):
7 worrisome signs for Obama
Glenn Thrush Mon Aug 11, 5:29 AM ET
A few weeks back, Time magazine was musing that John McCain was in danger of sliding from “a long shot” to a “no-shot.” Around the same time, a hard-nosed former Hillary Clinton insider declared the race “effectively over” thanks to the McCain campaign’s ineptitude, the tanking U.S. economy and Obama’s advantages in cash, charisma and hope. And Obama, up by three to six points nationally, was about to leverage a much-anticipated trip to Iraq, Afghanistan and Europe into a pre-convention poll surge.
Instead, his supporters are now suffering a pre-Denver panic attack, watching as John McCain draws incrementally closer in state and national polls – with Rasmussen’s most recent daily national tracker showing a statistical dead heat.
Meanwhile, Hillary Clinton has been privately enumerating her doubts about Obama to supporters, according to people who have spoken with her. Clinton’s pollster Mark Penn recently unveiled a PowerPoint presentation red-flagging Obama’s lukewarm leads among white female voters and Hispanics – while predicting a five-point swing could turn a presumed Obama win into a McCain landslide.
“It’s not that people think McCain will win – it’s that they are realizing that McCain could win,” says Quinnipiac University pollster Peter Brown, whose surveys show tight races in Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Florida. “This election is about Barack Obama — not John McCain — it's about whether Barack Obama passes muster. Every poll shows that people want a Democratic president, the problem is they’re not sure they want Barack Obama.”
Obama’s aides point to the stability of his small national lead, say they aren’t worried about his summer stall and think his numbers will improve when voters begin tuning in to the conventions.
“This is a country that is looking for a fundamentally different direction, and John McCain offers nothing but the status quo,” said spokesman Bill Burton, adding that he wasn’t “losing any sleep” over Obama's rough patch.
The campaign’s confidence may turn out to be justified, but two weeks prior to the national convention there are more than a few worrisome signs for Obama. Here are seven:
1. Race. “The idea that Obama was going to win in a blowout was always preposterous,” says former Nebraska senator and onetime presidential hopeful Bob Kerrey, an Obama backer. “A big piece of this, of course, is whether white people are going to support a black guy. ... If [Obama] is a tall, skinny white guy named Paul Jones, it's a different story.”
[I disagree. People are starting to understand that Obama is a hard core Globalist and Elitist who publicly says he plans to create a domestic a Youth Army to control the American people and they want a patriot and nationalist rather than a globalist dictator. Race is doubtless an issue for some people but its not the biggest one by any means]
Obama is running nearly neck-and-neck with McCain among white voters in most polls, a major cause for optimism considering that John Kerry lost the white vote by 17 points and that Al Gore lost it by 12 points. Among whites, he does well with women, the affluent and college grads but fares poorly among low-income earners and Catholics — key swing groups that handed Hillary Rodham Clinton stunning blowouts in West Virginia and Kentucky.
[What a dumb comment! Kerry etc. were running against other white guys!]
How much does his race factor into tightening contests in Missouri, Wisconsin, Florida, Minnesota and Ohio? Nobody knows — and that’s the problem.
A huge challenge for Obama, insiders say, is simply determining how much skin color will matter in November. Race is nearly impossible to poll — no one ever says “I’m a racist” — and no campaign wants it revealed they are even asking questions on the issue.
“It’s the uncertainty that kills me — we know it’s going to be factor, but how big a factor?” asks a Democratic operative with ties to the Obama camp. “How do you even measure such a thing?
Adding to the jitters: GOP surrogates like New York Rep. Peter King have vowed to make Obama’s relationship with the Rev. Jeremiah Wright a centerpiece during the homestretch.
2. Obama’s strength in Virginia may be overhyped. His chances of ending the Democrats 44-year losing streak in the commonwealth are pretty good — thanks to the explosive growth of the liberal D.C. suburbs, and a 147,000 spike in voter registration sure to benefit Democrats. But Obama’s aides privately concede his odds in Virginia are probably no better than 50-50 and that the state is far from a lock-solid hedge if he loses Ohio and Florida.
3. Michigan’s in play for McCain. In the year of the downturn, the hard-hit upper Midwest should be prime Obama country. Instead it’s a potential minefield. Obama is still ahead by two to five points there — similar to margins of victory enjoyed by Gore and Kerry in the last two presidential contests — but McCain has quietly crept up over the past month and could vault ahead if he anoints ex-Gov. Mitt Romney as his running mate. Simmering tensions between predominantly black Detroit and its white suburbs could hurt Obama. And McCain’s surrogates were handed a gift in the jailing of Detroit Mayor Kwame Kilpatrick, an Obama supporter.
“Watch Michigan — the Democrats think they've got it but they don't,” says Quinnipiac’s Peter Brown, a longtime Michigan observer. “Obama should be killing [McCain] there, but there's a lot more racial tension in Michigan than in other states.”
Obama also hasn’t pulled away in other Democrat-friendly neighboring states, watching leads in Wisconsin and Minnesota erode over the last month.
4. Bad times could be good for McCain. If anger helps Democrats, fear works to the advantage of Republicans. A growing number of Democratic strategists worry that some swing state voters may opt for McCain if the economy veers from merely awful to downright terrifying. The typical political calculus —that bad economic times will deliver the White House to Democrats — may not hold if people start viewing the downturn as, essentially, a national security crisis that can’t be entrusted to a novice. And that was McCain’s underlying message in his Paris Hilton ad: Bank failures, soaring gas prices and plummeting house values are forms of economic terrorism, and he’s an all-purpose anti-terror warrior.
[Expect an "October Surprise." Many of us have been pointing to this Fall, and specifically to October for a long time]
“John McCain is a known quantity,” says Bob Kerrey, who thinks Obama will ultimately prevail. “You don't look at John and say, ‘Who the heck is he?’. He's a veteran, he's a guy who got pretty banged up in Vietnam. He can deal with crisis. There's some uncertainty about Senator Obama.”
The good news for Obama, of course, is that McCain — who infamously admitted he “never understood” economics — is loathed by unions, was somnambulant at the dawn of the housing meltdown and still gropes for a coherent economic policy that doesn’t include the words “offshore drilling.” But he doesn’t have to win the argument, just reinforce doubts about Obama with wavering swing state voters. The Illinois senator still enjoys a major edge on the economic issues, but his 20-point June lead on the question of who can best fix the economy slipped to a 17-point edge in July, according to the Pew Research Center.
“Obama wins on the economy,” said Guy Cecil, Hillary Clinton’s field director during the primaries. “But it will be interesting to see if McCain’s able to close the economic gap.”
5. Where have you gone, Ross Perot? Bill Clinton, the lone two-term Democratic president since FDR, wouldn’t have been elected if independent Ross Perot hadn’t siphoned 19 percent of the vote in 1992. Former Georgia Rep. Bob Barr, staging an indie bid from McCain’s right, has little cash and doesn’t seem to be a factor in competitive states.
6. The Legacy of LBJ, Jimmy and Bubba. Barack Obama would have been a trailblazer no matter what —but the Democrats’ trail to the White House has been remarkably narrow since 1960, accommodating only Southern whites with border-state strength: Lyndon Johnson, Jimmy Carter and Bill Clinton. (Add Al Gore if you’re counting the popular vote.)
[It refreshing to find someone admitting that Bush lost the popular vote. Had the scam been discovered earlier and had Al Gore not accepted the payola of the Nobel and movie awards Bush would never had been appointed dictator, 9-11 would not had happened, the US would not have invaded Afghanistan and Iraq, we would still have habeas corpus protections, domestic spying would still be illegal, the US would not be the most feared and hated nation on earth earth etc... of course then again, Al Gore would probably have been the third Clinton term so maybe things would have gone the same... we'll never know!]
7. Americans may want divided government. Some Democratic operatives think a possible landslide for their party in congressional races could backfire on Obama.
“Fairly or not, folks think he’s pretty liberal and nobody wants a pair of Pelosis running things,” says a New York-based Democratic consultant.
[Personally I want Nancy Pelosi in prison for the rest of her life for high treason where she belongs! San Franciscans: VOTE Cindy Sheehan!!! Dump this Traitor Pelosi!! http://www.cindyforcongress.org/]
I Support Cindy For Congress!
Dump Traitor Pelosi!]
Adds Bob Kerrey: “The country's still pretty divided … people may want a divided government. They want change, but I'm not sure that the Democratic agenda has the support of a majority of Americans.”
[An absolute VITAL point here! Congress has the lowest approval rating in history -- 9 % and dropping! --Congress is even more despised that Bush! We can not afford to give these losers full control of our nation! At least with a divided government there MAY be SOME attempt to stop the globalists! Give one faction everything and We the People will have NO voice at all in government]
"Impeachement is off the Table"?
Grumble grumble... Vote against Hussein Obama
Grumble grumble... Vote McCain